Anwar Ibrahim: Collateral Damage in Kajang Gambit


zainal1Quest for power is the driving force of history always has been and always will be.  Those who failed to recognize this principle are not spared in the grand chess game rather they are moved and manipulated by forces they do not understand.  From the perspective of those who dominated the board, it is obviously preferable to have a population of ignorant pawns than it is to have an array of opponents who is capable of mounting an effective resistance.  To this end it has always be in the interest of the ruling class to cultivate the illusion which will obscure the nature of the game.

We see the move into Kajang as one of this game which we shall call the Kajang Gambit – the endgame is obviously the control of Malaysia’s population for political power and it has nothing to do with the people’s welfare or their future.  On each side of this cleavage there exist reasons for the Kajang Gambit.  The unfortunate thing is that in this game it is not a question of two opposing forces facing each other.  There is another force which is invisible but equally potent in this game, a force that can reach deep into the country’s machinery and influence its outcome.  We shall call this force the Northern Faction.

 The country’s economic situation is chronic, the only way for the country to get back on its feet is when both sides of the political divide work together to achieve the country’s common goal – from the government side this move is called National Reconciliation Plan and from the Opposition side it is called the National Consensus Plan – But whatever plan you call it, it will amount to the same thing a political TRUCE.  The biggest issue is in what form will this truce take? Is it just going to be an understanding between Najib and Anwar? Or is the Kajang Gambit is actually the way for Anwar and gang to be readmitted into UMNO – the same way as the Semangat 46 members.  The only difference is that Semangat 46 did not have any State as a chip to bargain with, compared to Anwar having Selangor to put on the table.

Obviously such an alliance is bad for business especially to those that is coming from the Northern Factions.  The political strength that can be generated from this alliance will not only keep the Northern Factions at bay, it may well be pushing them into a massive retreat.  There is no point in taking Najib out of the game because as it is now Najib’s all moves have been neutralized.  Najib is not a threat but the alliance is.  Therefore it is for the Northern Faction best interest to take Anwar out of the game.  Who is the best person to do this job? Correct, correct, correct.

However, looking at what is done to Anwar Ibrahim by the Malaysia Court, it goes beyond any political game to the extent that it has reach criminal stage.  This is the reflection of how terminal the system in our country has become.

Anwar once again is facing jail sentence when his acquittal on sodomy charges was overturned.  If his appeal failed too then so will his political career and this time for good.  After five years in the goal it will be an impossible task for him to crawl back into the country’s political game -in short, it is game over.

As it is now, Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR) is facing serious Leadership vacuum within the party.  Most of PKR’s ideologues have left the party and the present leadership tussle is counterproductive.  PKR’s adventure into Sabah and Sarawak may be curtailed which simple means that members in Sabah and Sarawak will be left to fend for themselves.  In the next election their presence, if there is any left will be insignificant.

Anwar incarceration may spill over to other members of PAKATAN.  PAS will revert to its old recalcitrant self of and building a wall around them which give BN/UMNO a free hand painting the walls to BN/UMNO’s liking.  Some PAS members may want to proceed with the alliance with UMNO, only when Najib is still the President of the party and the Prime Minister.  Once Najib is replaced these arrangements may cease to exist.

Apart from truce and cooperation, there is another way to manage the country’s chronic economic situation which is for the government to have total and absolute control of the population.  The problem is that total and absolute control of the people cannot be enforced unless there are total and absolute defiance and disobedience by the people.  Kalimah “Allah” issue, confiscation and burning of bible are perhaps one of such effort to agitate the Christian of this country for massive defiance and disobedience.  Fortunately the Christian community in Malaya is more tolerant and forgiving and the sounds of dissents from the Borneo States are irrelevant.  The Kangkong episode and the vocal threat of reviving the 13th May incident did not find traction amongst the Malaya population.  These failed to create the necessary stimulants to start a massive defiance and disobedience movement from the people.

Putting Anwar in Jail based on overturned charges may just be the catalyst to start a massive defiance and disobedience movement throughout Malaya.  This type of movement will never have the contagion effect in the Borneo States.  The full force of violence will be executed on these dissidents and the full effect of the law may be enforced to round-up leaders of the dissidents.

The Borneo States may be able to give a sigh of temporary relief because initially they will not be the target of these retaliatory moves.  Nationalist in the Borneo states enjoy the inclusive protection of state leaders who advocate that the safeguards and caveats contained in the IGC and Malaysia Agreement 1963 must be uphold.  This is the window of opportunity available to them to do what is necessary to ensure that the safeguards and caveats in the IGC and the Malaysia Agreement 1963 will never again be taken for granted.

If the center failed to uphold their part of the bargain and wants to exert their authorities and control upon the Borneo States – there is only one option available to the Borneo States – leave Malaysia and become a New Sovereign Nation.

Zainnal Ajamain

Zainnal Ajamain is an economist by profession, graduating with a Masters degree from the University of East Anglia. He has held several high ranking civil service positions in government and government think tanks and has worked as a university lecturer, senior researcher, stockbroker, and economist and published several papers in international media journals. He was the co-author behind the Sabah Government’s vision for development and progress the HALATUJU which later became the Sabah Development Corridor and created the first Offshore Islamic Fund in Labuan. He also held the position of Senior Research Fellow in the Centre for Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Systems at the University Malaysia Sabah.  He was the Co-Founder of the United Borneo Front (UBF) and a passionate activist to abolish the Cabotage Policy and the development of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia and Philippine East Asia Growth Area or in short BIMP-EAGA.  He is also the Secretary General of a newly formed political party in Sabah.

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About sifusiber
A husband & a father who wants his children to have a better future

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